Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Frost 55.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 79.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 79.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Frost
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Pettersson
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
55.0% (686)
-9.1%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
60.8% (166)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
100.0% (5)
-64.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
49.3% (584)
56.1% (428)
Away
44.5% (555)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
45.8%
58.9%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
54.1%
OT
47.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Frost
66.0%▲
60.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |