Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Frost 46.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pettersson
Frost
Last 9: Pettersson 4-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Pettersson
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
45.6% (833)
-1.5%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
46.0% (100)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
55.6% (18)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
45.0% (489)
47.0% (440)
Away
43.7% (508)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
46.0%
42.5%
P2
45.7%
47.9%
P3
42.2%
46.6%
OT
23.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |