Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Frost 49.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
48.6% (704)
+1.8%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
55.7% (115)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
25.0% (4)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
50.7% (420)
49.9% (399)
Away
50.9% (379)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
48.0%
51.2%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
57.5%
42.7%
OT
30.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |