Elias Pettersson vs Nick Schmaltz
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Last 9: Pettersson 5-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
48.1% (268)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
50.5% (91)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
58.8% (17)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Home
48.1% (489)
49.0% (206)
Away
46.9% (475)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Pettersson
Schmaltz
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
46.2%
P3
46.6%
50.4%
OT
55.6%
16.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |