Elias Pettersson vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.1%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 70.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
45.9% (665)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
46.8% (111)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
50.0% (24)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Home
49.3% (584)
44.7% (409)
Away
44.5% (555)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Pettersson
Schmaltz
P1
45.8%
40.3%
P2
47.9%
47.6%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |