Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Suzuki 49.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 57.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Pettersson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Pettersson
Suzuki
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Pettersson
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Pettersson
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
5
Pettersson
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
50.5% (701)
-6.7%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
50.0% (212)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
34.5% (55)
+1.4%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Pettersson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pettersson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Suzuki
Home
48.3% (453)
49.6% (486)
Away
43.4% (495)
49.4% (482)
By Period
Pettersson
Suzuki
P1
44.7%
51.1%
P2
46.0%
46.0%
P3
46.4%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |