Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Roy 47.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 85.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 71.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Pettersson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pettersson
Roy
Last 8: Pettersson 6-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
47.5% (617)
+2.9%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
39.6% (53)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
46.4% (97)
-5.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Roy
Home
50.7% (420)
47.2% (398)
Away
50.9% (379)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Pettersson
Roy
P1
48.0%
48.6%
P2
47.6%
48.8%
P3
57.5%
43.9%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |