Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 75.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Pettersson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
51.9% (547)
-6.0%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
54.1% (37)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
53.3% (92)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Roy
Home
49.3% (584)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.5% (555)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Pettersson
Roy
P1
45.8%
53.5%
P2
47.9%
51.6%
P3
47.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |