Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
2
Pettersson
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
54.6% (669)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
57.3% (171)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
56.3% (87)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (453)
56.4% (486)
Away
43.4% (495)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
44.7%
55.3%
P2
46.0%
53.4%
P3
46.4%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |