Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
3
Pettersson
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
55.4% (826)
-9.5%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
57.9% (221)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
50.4% (129)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
49.3% (584)
55.8% (579)
Away
44.5% (555)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
45.8%
57.7%
P2
47.9%
54.8%
P3
47.1%
54.3%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |