Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 39-31 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 75.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 82.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 85.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
39
(70 meetings)
31
39
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
12
12
Pettersson
O'Reilly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
19
Pettersson
O'Reilly
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
9
8
Pettersson
O'Reilly
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
56.2% (15,260)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
51.4% (2,811)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
46.8% (2,734)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
44.7%
55.6%
P2
46.0%
57.0%
P3
47.4%
55.1%
OT
39.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |