Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 43.8%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Strome 44.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Pettersson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Pettersson
Strome
Last 8: Pettersson 3-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Pettersson
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
43.0% (788)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
47.9% (96)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
50.0% (34)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Strome
Home
45.0% (489)
42.6% (486)
Away
43.7% (508)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Pettersson
Strome
P1
46.0%
41.0%
P2
45.7%
47.8%
P3
42.2%
42.1%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |