Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Strome 45.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Pettersson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Pettersson
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
44.2% (267)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
37.0% (27)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
50.0% (4)
-14.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Strome
Home
49.3% (584)
42.0% (157)
Away
44.5% (555)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Pettersson
Strome
P1
45.8%
40.0%
P2
47.9%
46.4%
P3
47.1%
44.0%
OT
47.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |