Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Bennett 47.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 65.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Pettersson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pettersson
Bennett
Last 7: Pettersson 4-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Pettersson
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
48.2% (766)
-4.1%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
45.1% (82)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
33.9% (56)
+0.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Bennett
Home
45.0% (489)
49.1% (458)
Away
43.7% (508)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Pettersson
Bennett
P1
46.0%
47.9%
P2
45.7%
47.2%
P3
42.2%
46.4%
OT
23.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |