Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 63.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Pettersson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pettersson
Bennett
Last 9: Pettersson 6-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Pettersson
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
46.5% (909)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
43.1% (51)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
38.5% (13)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Bennett
Home
48.1% (489)
45.4% (449)
Away
46.9% (475)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Pettersson
Bennett
P1
47.4%
49.6%
P2
48.3%
43.7%
P3
46.6%
45.1%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |