Elias Pettersson vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Thompson 45.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Pettersson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pettersson
Thompson
Last 6: Pettersson 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Pettersson
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
44.9% (642)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
47.9% (94)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (33)
+2.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Thompson
Home
49.3% (584)
46.0% (391)
Away
44.5% (555)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Pettersson
Thompson
P1
45.8%
48.1%
P2
47.9%
44.9%
P3
47.1%
41.2%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |