Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Pettersson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pettersson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Pettersson
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
53.2% (201)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
60.0% (25)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
44.4% (9)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Seguin
Home
49.3% (584)
56.3% (126)
Away
44.5% (555)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Pettersson
Seguin
P1
45.8%
44.3%
P2
47.9%
52.1%
P3
47.1%
62.5%
OT
47.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |