Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 72.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 77.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Pettersson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Pettersson
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Pettersson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
56.5% (712)
-12.6%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
59.7% (67)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
44.9% (49)
+0.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Seguin
Home
45.5% (290)
58.5% (402)
Away
42.4% (250)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Pettersson
Seguin
P1
40.2%
58.4%
P2
43.9%
54.7%
P3
48.8%
54.1%
OT
42.9%
72.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |