Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Pettersson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pettersson
Seguin
Last 6: Pettersson 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Pettersson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Pettersson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
56.9% (478)
-6.5%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
57.4% (54)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
51.3% (76)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Seguin
Home
50.7% (420)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.9% (379)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Pettersson
Seguin
P1
48.0%
50.3%
P2
47.6%
60.4%
P3
57.5%
58.0%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |