Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 42.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 86.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 77.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Pettersson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
Seguin
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Pettersson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (608)
53.9% (996)
-12.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
56.4% (94)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.1% (165)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Pettersson shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Seguin
Home
39.7% (320)
55.9% (633)
Away
42.3% (307)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Pettersson
Seguin
P1
36.9%
55.8%
P2
43.2%
51.7%
P3
43.6%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | OT | 00:37 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |