Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 84.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Staal
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Staal
Pavelski
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Staal
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
54.4% (474)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
51.9% (104)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
52.7% (74)
-3.9%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Staal
Pavelski
Home
52.0% (542)
54.3% (313)
Away
46.6% (457)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Staal
Pavelski
P1
44.2%
51.0%
P2
50.3%
51.9%
P3
52.9%
58.1%
OT
68.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | OT | 04:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |