Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Staal
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.3% (560)
-2.7%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
57.5% (113)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
62.5% (16)
-27.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Staal
Pavelski
Home
46.1% (380)
54.2% (360)
Away
46.3% (363)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Staal
Pavelski
P1
45.7%
54.5%
P2
46.2%
56.7%
P3
46.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%