Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Bailey 45.9% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Staal
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
41.7% (84)
+7.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
28.6% (7)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
60.0% (5)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Staal
Bailey
Home
46.1% (380)
37.9% (58)
Away
46.3% (363)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Staal
Bailey
P1
45.7%
47.2%
P2
46.2%
41.7%
P3
46.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%