Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 61.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Staal
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Staal
Bailey
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
7
Staal
Bailey
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
5
Staal
Bailey
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Bailey
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
45.8% (1,991)
+4.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
48.1% (295)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
39.9% (281)
+4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Staal
Bailey
Home
52.6% (6,558)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Staal
Bailey
P1
50.0%
46.5%
P2
51.1%
44.8%
P3
50.4%
44.4%
OT
55.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |