Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs Hayes 46.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Staal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Hayes
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
45.4% (788)
+3.5%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
50.0% (56)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
45.2% (124)
+2.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
49.6% (550)
46.6% (459)
Away
48.7% (624)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
48.9%
43.0%
P2
47.5%
49.5%
P3
51.6%
44.7%
OT
45.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |