Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Hayes 47.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Staal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Staal
Hayes
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
8
Staal
Hayes
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Staal
Hayes
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
6
Staal
Hayes
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
47.5% (6,708)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
51.7% (702)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
45.3% (697)
-1.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
52.6% (6,558)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
50.0%
47.5%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
50.4%
47.9%
OT
55.2%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |