Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Eller 53.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Eller
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Staal
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
53.8% (865)
-4.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
57.1% (21)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
52.6% (137)
-17.2%
On power play, Eller has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
46.1% (380)
56.4% (486)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
45.7%
55.1%
P2
46.2%
55.3%
P3
46.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |