Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 43-39 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 67.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
43
(82 meetings)
39
43
Staal
Eller
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
14
Staal
Eller
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
15
Staal
Eller
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
9
14
Staal
Eller
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.1% (10,296)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
52.8% (621)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
46.7% (1,751)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
52.6% (6,558)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
50.1%
P3
50.4%
50.2%
OT
55.2%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |