Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Staal
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
McCarron
Last 5: Staal 1-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Staal
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Staal
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.3% (2,791)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
46.4% (84)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.5% (422)
-6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,305).
Home / Away
Staal
McCarron
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.2% (1,592)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
53.3% (1,705)
By Period
Staal
McCarron
P1
50.0%
54.3%
P2
51.1%
51.6%
P3
50.4%
52.3%
OT
55.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |