Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Staal
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
McCarron
Last 5: Staal 1-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Staal
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Staal
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.4% (2,901)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
45.3% (86)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.5% (463)
-6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Staal
McCarron
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Staal
McCarron
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
51.1%
52.5%
P3
50.4%
52.0%
OT
55.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |