Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs McCarron 54.9% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Staal
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
62.8% (86)
-13.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
44.4% (18)
-9.0%
On power play, McCarron has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Staal
McCarron
Home
46.1% (380)
59.5% (42)
Away
46.3% (363)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Staal
McCarron
P1
45.7%
71.0%
P2
46.2%
48.7%
P3
46.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%