Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Staal
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Staal
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Staal
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Staal
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
50.1% (1,051)
-0.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
58.3% (120)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
41.9% (227)
-6.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
46.1% (380)
49.0% (681)
Away
46.3% (363)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
45.7%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
46.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |