Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.9%). Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
5
Staal
Zibanejad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
8
Staal
Zibanejad
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
15
Staal
Zibanejad
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.9% (11,719)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
52.2% (1,849)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
41.5% (1,790)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
52.6% (6,558)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
51.1%
49.7%
P3
50.4%
49.8%
OT
55.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 02:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |