Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 74-61 in 135 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Staal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
61
-
74
(135 meetings)
61
74
Staal
Stastny
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
23
20
Staal
Stastny
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
12
23
Staal
Stastny
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
26
31
Staal
Stastny
57 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
50.4%
53.5%
OT
55.2%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |