Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Stamkos 49.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Staal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Staal
Stamkos
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Staal
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
7
Staal
Stamkos
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
48.1% (669)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
58.2% (110)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
50.0% (40)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Staal is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Staal shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Staal
Stamkos
Home
52.7% (490)
52.0% (402)
Away
51.3% (524)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Staal
Stamkos
P1
56.4%
46.3%
P2
52.4%
52.4%
P3
47.4%
50.2%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |