Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.0%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 52-49 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Staal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
49
(101 meetings)
52
49
Staal
Stamkos
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
12
13
Staal
Stamkos
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
23
20
Staal
Stamkos
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
17
16
Staal
Stamkos
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.4% (9,799)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.1% (1,725)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
49.7% (825)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Staal
Stamkos
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Staal
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
49.1%
P2
51.1%
52.7%
P3
50.4%
50.9%
OT
55.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |