Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 93.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 72.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 77.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Staal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
55.3% (628)
-5.7%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.1% (216)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
40.2% (87)
-4.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Staal
Stamkos
Home
46.1% (380)
55.5% (499)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Staal
Stamkos
P1
45.7%
50.7%
P2
46.2%
53.8%
P3
46.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |