Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Thompson 43.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Thompson
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Staal
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
43.3% (735)
+6.3%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.0% (26)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
36.5% (52)
-1.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
46.1% (380)
44.5% (407)
Away
46.3% (363)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
45.7%
44.4%
P2
46.2%
44.8%
P3
46.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |