Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Thompson 42.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 72.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Thompson
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Staal
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
42.9% (3,521)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
46.8% (372)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
33.6% (265)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
52.6% (6,558)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
50.0%
44.5%
P2
51.1%
43.6%
P3
50.4%
40.2%
OT
55.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |