Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Johnson 55.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Johnson
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Staal
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
55.9% (93)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
66.7% (18)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
80.0% (10)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 63.3% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
52.7% (490)
67.2% (61)
Away
51.3% (524)
51.7% (60)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
56.4%
55.6%
P2
52.4%
70.5%
P3
47.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
69.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
59.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |