Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.7%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 36-34 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
34
(70 meetings)
36
34
Staal
Johnson
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
19
12
Staal
Johnson
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
7
12
Staal
Johnson
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Staal
Johnson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.6% (885)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
42.3% (707)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
50.0%
50.1%
P2
51.1%
50.6%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
55.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |