Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Johnson 50.7% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Staal
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
47.4% (78)
+2.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
57.6% (33)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
100.0% (2)
-64.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
46.1% (380)
50.9% (57)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
45.7%
44.1%
P2
46.2%
59.4%
P3
46.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%