Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 91.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 83.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Haula
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Haula
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
45.0% (389)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
31.8% (22)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
37.6% (125)
+6.5%
On power play, Haula has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Haula
Gaudreau
Home
48.6% (426)
42.6% (277)
Away
51.6% (411)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Haula
Gaudreau
P1
52.2%
43.8%
P2
51.5%
44.8%
P3
46.7%
39.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Erik Haula |