Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 77.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 76.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Haula
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Haula
Gaudreau
Last 9: Haula 2-7 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
6
Haula
Gaudreau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
49.2% (858)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
39.0% (41)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
46.0% (198)
+2.0%
On power play, Haula has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Haula is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Haula shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Haula
Gaudreau
Home
54.2% (345)
47.1% (546)
Away
51.1% (374)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Haula
Gaudreau
P1
55.8%
46.8%
P2
48.0%
46.8%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |