Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 57.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 64.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Haula
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Haula
Gaudreau
Last 5: Haula 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
3
Haula
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
48.4% (770)
+6.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
58.7% (46)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
50.3% (199)
-4.9%
On power play, Haula has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Haula
Gaudreau
Home
55.4% (520)
51.1% (507)
Away
53.1% (537)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Haula
Gaudreau
P1
56.5%
49.4%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
53.8%
51.2%
OT
25.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |