Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs McBain 44.7% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 87.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 64.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 73.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Haula
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Haula
McBain
Last 6: Haula 4-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Haula
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
45.3% (675)
+9.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
50.0% (16)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
37.6% (149)
+7.8%
On power play, Haula has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Haula
McBain
Home
55.4% (520)
45.5% (437)
Away
53.1% (537)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Haula
McBain
P1
56.5%
43.5%
P2
53.3%
44.0%
P3
53.8%
45.0%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |