Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs McBain 45.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 81.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 88.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 80.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Haula
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
McBain
Last 5: Haula 4-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Haula
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
46.3% (568)
+11.3%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
37.5% (8)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
37.8% (74)
+7.7%
On even strength, Haula has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Haula
McBain
Home
56.3% (449)
50.6% (330)
Away
53.3% (443)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Haula
McBain
P1
58.4%
45.4%
P2
54.9%
44.5%
P3
52.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Erik Haula |