Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Haula
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Haula
Pavelski
Last 9: Haula 6-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (684)
51.3% (643)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
58.1% (172)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
46.3% (41)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Haula is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Haula shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Haula
Pavelski
Home
55.2% (355)
53.8% (431)
Away
52.7% (395)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Haula
Pavelski
P1
53.2%
48.4%
P2
54.7%
52.0%
P3
54.4%
55.6%
OT
20.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |