Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.4%). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 63.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Haula
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Haula
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
52.3% (560)
+2.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.5% (113)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
62.5% (16)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Haula
Pavelski
Home
55.4% (520)
54.2% (360)
Away
53.1% (537)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Haula
Pavelski
P1
56.5%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
56.7%
P3
53.8%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |