Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 53.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 75.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Haula
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Haula
Pavelski
Last 7: Haula 5-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Haula
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
51.5% (594)
+6.1%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
51.7% (87)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
28.6% (14)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Haula
Pavelski
Home
56.3% (449)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.3% (443)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Haula
Pavelski
P1
58.4%
53.8%
P2
54.9%
47.8%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |